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WRAP TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (WRAP)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was WRAP’s strongest revenue quarter in eight quarters: gross revenue rose 241% YoY to $2.02M and net revenue rose 151% YoY to $1.49M; gross margin expanded to 59% from 40% YoY, driven by pricing discipline, mix and efficiencies .
- Operating loss improved to $(2.76)M from $(3.63)M YoY, while OpEx fell 6% YoY to $3.64M; cash ended at $6.0M (up from $3.6M at 12/31/24), reflecting financing and improved working capital; warrants liability was eliminated via prior reclassification, reducing future earnings volatility .
- Strategic execution advanced: managed/recurring offerings (WrapReady/WrapPlus) gained traction (subscriptions were 12% of Q3 gross revenue, $236k), a federal go-to-market structure was stood up (Wrap Federal), and the company launched DFR-X and achieved a “first known” air-to-air interdiction with MERLIN-Interdictor, expanding into CUAS .
- No numeric guidance was issued; S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2025 were unavailable, so no beat/miss can be measured. Potential stock catalysts: accelerating subscription mix, demonstrated CUAS milestones (DFR-X/MERLIN), and international pipeline (e.g., Chile) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue inflected: $2.02M gross (+241% YoY) and $1.49M net (+151% YoY), with gross margin at 59% (vs. 40% YoY); operating loss narrowed to $(2.76)M .
- Subscription transition gaining traction: recurring subscription sales were $236k (12% of gross), supported by WrapReady, WrapPlus, WrapTactics and managed services .
- Strategic proof points in CUAS: “first known air-to-air interdiction” using MERLIN-Interdictor payload, plus DFR-X launch to transform drones from observers into non-lethal interdiction platforms .
- Quote: “BolaWrap 150 has now demonstrated a 92% field success rate with zero reported deaths, zero serious injuries, and zero lawsuits” — Scott Cohen (CEO) .
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What Went Wrong
- The company remains unprofitable: Q3 net loss $(2.77)M; YTD operating cash outflow $(7.62)M) .
- YoY leverage still building: OpEx (though down YoY) remains high vs. current scale ($3.64M in Q3), and the model is still transitioning from one-time hardware to subscriptions .
- Sales returns/allowances of $(0.53)M in Q3 tempered net revenue from gross, highlighting execution and channel hygiene items to monitor .
- Investor concern: quantitative guidance and consensus estimates are not available, limiting near-term visibility for beat/miss frameworks. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Financial Results
Headline P&L vs prior year and prior quarter
Notes: Q2 2025 figures reflect the “Three Months ended June 30, 2025” column in the 8-K exhibits . Gross margin in Q2 2025 is calculated from reported revenue and gross profit .
Revenue mix
KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow
Guidance Changes
No quantitative guidance was issued in the press release or on the call .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The third quarter represented our strongest in the past two years, delivering $2 million in gross revenue, 12% of which came from subscription-based sales” — Scott Cohen, CEO .
- “We’re building a connected ecosystem of training, policy, and tools… transforming what was a one-time hardware sale into a multi-year subscription contract” — Jared Novick, President & COO .
- “BolaWrap 150 has now demonstrated a 92% field success rate with zero reported deaths, zero serious injuries, and zero lawsuits” — Scott Cohen .
- “We have onboarded close to 18 people that touch sales and marketing, including the D.C. office… it’s the biggest hiring spree we’ve done” — Scott Cohen .
- On DFR-X: “Now you’re allowing [drones] to do something… deter, delay and distract with BolaWrap technology” — Jared Novick .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital markets: Management indicated openness to tapping public equity markets as needed: “Yes, we will continue to evaluate those options” .
- Positioning: Emphasis on “non-lethal” vs. “less-lethal” based on data; no plans for a reverse split; bylaw amendment was protective flexibility only .
- Pipeline: Ongoing, frequent engagement with Chile; targeting non-lethal solution demand in-country; timing hopeful for next year .
- Sales force: Headcount ramp in sales/marketing to seize opportunity post-repositioning; signals offensive posture .
- Product roadmap: DFR-X differentiation explained; multi-cassette drone payload enabling non-lethal interdiction; platform-agnostic partnerships .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2025 (revenue, EPS, EBITDA) were unavailable; consequently, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street for the quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Management did not issue numerical guidance, limiting forward estimate anchoring; given subscription mix and CUAS initiatives, we expect Street models (where they exist) to revisit revenue cadence and contribution margins as adoption and federal/international traction evolve .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Inflection on volume and margin: Q3 net revenue of $1.49M and 59% gross margin validate mix/pricing progress; watch for sequential momentum into Q4/FY25 as subscription and product sales scale .
- Operating leverage path: OpEx down YoY and operating loss narrowing, but profitability still requires more scale; cash of ~$6.0M provides near-term runway; warrants reclassification reduces P&L volatility .
- Subscription transition is working: Subscriptions were 12% of Q3 gross; agency adoption supported by WrapTactics (LMS), policy alignment, and managed services; monitor attach and churn .
- New vectors (DFR-X/MERLIN/CUAS): Technical validations and demos (including first known air-to-air interdiction) expand TAM into defense/homeland markets; execution focus shifts to trials, procurement, and commercialization .
- Federal/international catalysts: Wrap Federal/D.C. presence, made-in-America manufacturing, and active international opportunities (e.g., Chile) represent 2026+ revenue optionality .
- Data-driven non-lethal positioning: Management cites 92% BolaWrap success rate with zero deaths/injuries/lawsuits; narrative tailwinds from policy/reform could drive broader adoption .
- Trading setup: Absence of consensus and guidance can elevate volatility; near-term stock drivers likely include additional subscription wins, CUAS pilots/POs, and international contract announcements .
Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.